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FX Analysis - USD dips , GBP falls on cool CPI, JPY jawboning , EUR up on data

USD dipped in Wednesday’s session after the CPI inspired surge on Tuesday. The US dollar index (DXY) hitting resistance at the 105 level and dropping to a low of 104.65. Reports of Fed Chair Powell downplaying Tuesday's hotter than expected CPI along with the Fed's Goolsbee stating US inflation is still consistent with the Fed's path back to target weighing somewhat on yields and the USD.

EURUSD rallied modestly, holding the key 1.07 level where it found support on Tuesday. A soft USD and beats in Q4 employment and industrial production data support the pair. Euro watchers have ECB president Lagarde testifying at the EU parliament later in the session to look forward to.

JPY saw small gains against the USD with lower UST yields across the curve benefitting the Japanese currency. Though with USDJPY still well above the “intervention” level of 150 some jawboning from Japanese officials materialised. Japanese Finance Minister Suzuki saying he is closely watching FX market moves with a strong sense of urgency and currency diplomat Kanda noting he is watching FX moves and will take appropriate actions if needed on FX.

GBP was the G10 underperformer with GBPUSD setting one week lows after cooler than expected UK CPI data. The headline Y/Y maintaining a 4.0% pace, beneath the 4.2% forecast. UK GDP is ahead for Sterling traders where a contraction of -0.2% is expected.

Lachlan Meakin
March 8, 2024
Shares and Indices
Deere & Company beats estimates – the stock is falling

US machine manufacturer Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) announced the latest financial results before the opening bell on Thursday. Deere achieved revenue of $10.486 billion for the three months ending 28/1/24, beating analyst estimate of $10.303 billion. Revenue was down by 8% vs. the same period year prior.

Earnings per share (EPS) reported at $6.23 vs. $5.264 per share estimate. EPS decreased year-over-year by 4.88%. Net income for the quarter reached $1.75 billion.

The company cut net income forecast for fiscal year 2024 from $7.75-$8.25 billion to $7.50-$7.75 billion. Company overview Founded: 1837 Headquarters: Moline, Illinois, United States Number of employees: 82,200 (2022) Industry: Agricultural machinery, heavy equipment Key people: John C. May (Chairman, CEO & President) CEO commentary "Deere's first-quarter performance underscores the effectiveness of our Smart Industrial operating model and the dedication of our workforce, enabling improved performance across economic cycles that surpasses historical benchmarks," John C.

May, CEO of the company commented on the latest results. "Moreover, we remain committed to empowering our customers to improve their productivity and sustainability through ongoing investment in the next generation of solutions, as evidenced by our partnership on satellite communications to expand rural connectivity announced this quarter," May concluded his statement to stockholders. Stock reaction The stock fell by over 5% on Thursday. Shares were trading at around $363.36 a share – the lowest level since 12/12/23.

Stock performance 5 day: -5.49% 1 month: -4.39% 3 months: -3.68% Year-to-date: -8.81% 1 year: -9.51% Deere & Company stock price targets Morgan Stanley: $430 JP Morgan Chase & Co.: $385 Canaccord Genuity Group: $375 TD Cowen: $396 Bank of America: $422.50 HSBC: $486 USB Group: $408 Credit Suisse Group: $551 Stifel Nicolaus: $460 Oppenheimer: $458 Deutsche Bank: $407 DA Davidson: $510 Citigroup: $475 BMO Capital Markets: $425 Wells Fargo & Company: $490 Deere & Company is the 147 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $101.73 billion, according to CompaniesMarketCap. You can trade Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD on the MetaTrader 5 platform. To find out more, go to "Trading" then select "Share CFDs".

GO Markets offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs. Why trade during extended hours? Volatility never sleeps.

Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: Deere & Company, TradingView, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, CompaniesMarketCap

Klavs Valters
March 8, 2024
Shares and Indices
Cisco tops Wall Street estimates

Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) released the latest earnings results for fiscal Q2 of 2024 after market close in the US on Wednesday. The US telecommunications company achieved revenue of $12.8 billion for the quarter vs. $12.706 billion. Revenue was down by 6% vs. the same period the year prior.

Earnings per share (EPS) reached $0.87, above Wall Street estimate of $0.836 per share. EPS was down by 1% year-over-year. Cisco announced a 3% raise on its quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share for all shareholders on record as of 4/4/24.

For fiscal Q3 of 2024, the company expects revenue in a region of $12.1 to $12.3 billion. EPS expected at between $0.84 to $0.86 per share. Company overview Founded: 1984 Headquarters: San Jose, California, United States Number of employees: 84,900 (2023) Industry: Telecommunications Key people: Chuck Robbins (CEO & Chairman) CEO commentary "We delivered a solid second quarter with strong operating leverage and capital returns," Chuck Robbins, CEO of the company said in a press release. "We continue to align our investments to future growth opportunities.

Our innovation sits at the center of an increasingly connected ecosystem and will play a critical role as our customers adopt AI and secure their organizations," Robbins concluded. Stock reaction Shares were up by 1.29% at the end of Wednesday’s session at $50.28 a share. The stock fell by around 4% in the after-hours trading.

Stock performance 5 day: +0.32% 1 month: -0.74% 3 months: -6.29% Year-to-date: -1.17% 1 year: +3.05% Cisco stock price targets UBS Group: $55 Melius Research: $55 DZ Bank: $50 Rosenblatt Securities: $51 Piper Sandler: $50 Oppenheimer: $54 Tigress Financial: $76 Bank of America: $60 Deutsche Bank: $58 Barclays: $53 Citigroup: $55 Morgan Stanley: $56 Jefferies Financial Group: $59.50 Evercore ISI: $63 BNP Paribas: $45 JP Morgan Chase & Co.: $62 Cisco Systems Inc. is the 54 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $203 billion, according to CompaniesMarketCap. You can trade Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD on the MetaTrader 5 platform. To find out more, go to ''Trading'' then select ''Share CFDs''.

GO Markets offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs. Why trade during extended hours? Volatility never sleeps.

Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: Cisco Systems Inc., TradingView, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, CompaniesMarketCap

Klavs Valters
March 8, 2024
Shares and Indices
Coca-Cola earnings announced

American beverage giant The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) reported the latest financial results before the opening bell on Wall Street on Tuesday. Coca-Cola reported revenue of $10.948 billion (up by 7% year-over-year) for the last three months of 2023 vs. $10.675 billion expected. Earnings per share reached $0.49 (up by 10% year-over-year) vs. $0.489 per share estimate.

The company achieved revenue of $45.8 billion in 2023, up by 6% from 2022. EPS reached at $2.69 per share, up by 8%. Coca-Cola paid a total of $8 billion in dividends in 2023.

Company overview Founded: 1892 Headquarters: Atlanta, Georgia, United States Number of employees: 82,500 (2022) Industry: Beverage Key people: James Quincey (chairman and CEO), Brian Smith (president and COO) CEO commentary "During the year, our people and partners rose to meet new challenges, allowing us to excel globally and deliver in a dynamic world," CEO of the beverage company, James Quincey said in a statement to shareholders. "As we begin a new year, we’re confident that our all-weather strategy, powerful portfolio and harmonized system will continue to create value for our stakeholders in 2024 and for the long term," Quincey looked ahead. Stock reaction Shares were down by 0.87% on Tuesday at $59.18 a share – the lowest since 25/1/24. Stock performance 5 day: -1.55% 1 month: -1.63% 3 months: +3.35% Year-to-date: +0.14% 1 year: -0.97% Coca-Cola stock price targets Citigroup: $68 Barclays: $66 Jefferies Financial Group: $64 Morgan Stanley: $65 JP Morgan Chase & Co.: $62 Bank of America: $60 Royal Bank of Canada: $70 Wedbush: $71 HSBC: $74 Evercore ISI: $70 Deutsche Bank: $63 Wells Fargo & Company: $68 Credit Suisse Group: $70 UBS Group: $70 The Goldman Sachs Group: $62 The Coca-Cola Company is the 39 th largest company in the world with a market cap of $254.80 billion, according to CompaniesMarketCap.

You can trade The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD on the MetaTrader 5 platform. To find out more, go to "Trading" then select "Share CFDs". GO Markets offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs.

Why trade during extended hours? Volatility never sleeps. Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: The Coca-Cola Company, TradingView, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, CompaniesMarketCap

Klavs Valters
March 8, 2024
Shares and Indices
Barrick Gold beats Q4 expectations

Canadian mining company Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE: GOLD) reported Q4 2023 financial results before the US market opened on Wednesday. The world's second-largest gold miner achieved revenue of $3.126 billion for Q4 2023, up from $2.943 billion in Q3 2023 vs. $3.128 billion expected. Earnings per share reported at $0.276, exceeding analyst estimate of $0.205.

The company announced a $0.10 per share dividend for all shareholders as of 29/2/24. Company overview Founded: 1983 Headquarters: Toronto, Ontario, Canada Number of employees: 18,421 Industry: Metals and mining Key people: John L. Thornton (Executive Chairman), Mark Bristow (President and Chief Executive Officer) CEO commentary CEO of Barrick Gold, Mark Bristow, had this to say in a letter to shareholders: ''In true Barrick fashion, we kept our focus, dealt with the challenges, progressed our long-term strategic plans and delivered on some of our key objectives.

Most significantly, we have sustained our industry-leading organic growth outlook and are still projecting a 30% increase in gold equivalent3 production by the end of this decade.'' Stock reaction The stock was down by 0.42% during the day on Wednesday after the latest results were announced, trading at $14.09 a share – lowest since 3/11/22. Stock performance 5 day: -5.73% 1 month: -9.54% 3 months: -9.83% Year-to-date: -22.19% 1 year: -18.03% Barrick Gold stock price targets Raymond James: $24 CIBC: $23 BMP Capital Markets: $27 Citigroup: $18 TD Securities: $22 Scotiabank: $25 UBS Group: $23 Jefferies Financial Group: $15 CSFB: $20 Barclays: $28 The Goldman Sachs Group: $22 Fundamental Research: $19.02 Barrick Gold Corporation is the 743 rd largest company in the world with a market cap of $24.77 billion, according to CompaniesMarketCap. You can trade Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE: GOLD) and many other stocks from the NYSE, NASDAQ, HKEX and ASX with GO Markets as a Share CFD on the MetaTrader 5 platform.

To find out more, go to ''Trading'' then select ''Share CFDs''. GO Markets offers pre-market and after-market trading on popular US Share CFDs. Why trade during extended hours?

Volatility never sleeps. Trade over earnings releases as they happen outside of main trading hours Reduce your risk and hedge your existing positions ahead of a new trading day Extended trading hours on popular US stocks means extended opportunities Sources: Barrick Gold Corporation, TradingView, MarketWatch, MarketBeat, CompaniesMarketCap

Klavs Valters
March 8, 2024
每日财经快讯
A50 Hk50 入场的时机到了吗?

热门话题

2023年尾中国股市开始大跌,整个市场进入了至暗时刻。究其原因,首先外商对中国市场失去信心,导致中国外资大量且迅速地撤出是中国股市在2023年底开始大跌的主要原因之一,早在2023年中的时候外国资金便已经陆续开始净流出了,基于对中国经济长期增长放缓担忧,政治局势变幻莫测带来的极大风险,使得外国资本对中国市场失去信心,对指数形成压制,外资不断从A股流出,据统计截至年底外资净流出已达687亿美元,市场的恐慌情绪不断扩大从而引起羊群效应,大家纷纷开始抛售股票。再者,MSCI指数调整带来的不确定性,以及量化产品引发大众纷纷开始集中抛售中小市值股票。

2024年2月中国发布一系列救市政策,各个指数开始回升。自二月伊始,中国政府频繁出击发布一系列举措来挽救股市,2024年2月7日,中国股市监管机构承诺防止 “市场异常波动” ,中国于2月7日意外更换证监会主席为吴清。吴清,一位素来有 ‘券商屠夫’之称的新任掌门人。证监系统出身的他,有着十分丰富的金融监管经验,在其任职证监会监管相关工作期间作风十分强硬,处置过多家违规证券公司。这是一个很有意思的举措,不难看出中国政府在向市场参与者传达一个十分明确且强烈的意愿:“金融市场监管改革,我是认真的。”那么现在我们回归k线图来看,日线级别上在当天最终以一根大阳线收盘,期间最大涨幅甚至超过1%。并且在除息日当天就处置了63位招商证券员工并合计处罚8173万元,行动之迅速可见其大刀阔斧改革之决心,可以说是完全没有辜负他这令金融界闻风丧胆的名声了。但效果也十分显著,这些举措的确有效稳定了市场的情绪,股民开始对中国股市重拾信心。

与此同时中金发布公告肯定目前A股的市场配置价值并且扩大ETF的增持范围,适时传递出了稳定市场的信号。自开年以来整体ETF市场已经迎来高达3698. 68亿元的资金净流入。基于自2010年至2023年的历史数据来看,五大指数走势基本一致,均在春节前后有不同程度的涨幅,再加上本次春节期间利好消息不断发布,新年伊始自2月20日起,证监会新任主席吴清就已经针对加强资本市场监管、防范化解风险、推动资本市场高质量发展等问题与各级市场参与者展开了会谈,证监会所传达出的未来工作重点将会是:1.提高上市公司质量,2.加强上市公司的全过程监管,3. 加强证券公司和公募基金监管,4. 加强对融券业务的监管以打击恶意做空。同时在座谈会之后一大明显的变化是证监会允许微信用户在其公众号下方发表评论。这些举措对市场产生了较为积极明显的信号,证监会广开言路的态度,以及强烈的维护市场稳定和坚守监管主责的决心非常成功地稳定了广大投资人的信心。可以说新官上任这三把火烧的还是很深得人心的,2月23日,上证指数持续反弹态势,沪深指数重新守在3000点上方并且实现了8个交易日连续收阳。打击融券业务方面也初见成效,融券余额目前已下降24%至637亿元。同时A50与HK50也连续三天收阳足以说明市场情绪得到了有效的稳定。新年前后A股市场初步显露回升迹象,并呈现出了外资回流加仓A股的变化,截至2月28日收盘,北向资金2月净买入额已达到441.41亿元,已实现连续8个交易日净买入。MSCI指数调整方面并没有太大的变化,A股依旧保持着20%的纳入因子比例,总市值占比也并没有过大变化。技术形态分析目前看来这一系列的举措对目前的市场产生了较为积极的影响,China50和HK50逐渐迎来修复行情,各项政策的发布,经济渐趋稳定复苏,以及市场情绪在中国政府的救市努力下已逐渐恢复积极态度,市场对金融市场监管政策改革的积极响应以及对经济回升预期的逐渐升温,投资情绪日渐恢复,大家可以持续关注开始寻找入场机会了。同时现在市场上的积极情绪也可在k线图中有所印证,技术形态上恒生指数目前已逐渐显露出形成底部形态的节奏,在16427是一个非常重要的支撑阻力互换位,可静待时机待其守住颈线之后适时寻找交易机会。

(Source: TradingView)CHINA50技术形态与恒生指数走势相似,11645为其关键支阻互换位,需要关注其拉回该位置时是否能够站住再择机布局建仓。

(Source: TradingView)免责声明:GO Market分析师或外部发言人提供的信息基于其独立分析或个人经验。所表达的观点或交易风格仅代表其个人;并不代表 GO Markets 的观点或立场。联系方式:墨尔本 03 8658 0603悉尼 02 9188 0418中国地区(中文) 400 120 8537中国地区(英文) +248 4 671 903作者:Olivia Huang | GO Markets 悉尼中文部

Olivia Huang
March 7, 2024