加拿大丰业银行策略师 Shaun Osborne 和 Eric Theoret 指出,在日本央行(BoJ)以鸽派方式加息 25 个基点以及行长植田和男(Ueda)给出谨慎指引后,日元(JPY)兑美元(USD)大幅下跌。市场对连续加息的预期受到打击,这削弱了重建市场对日元信心的努力。对于美元/日元,他们指出 158–159 附近的关键移动平均线以及具有重要心理意义的 160 水平,而支撑位在 155 附近。
随着市场淡化日本央行,日元下跌
"在日本央行以鸽派方式加息后,日元兑美元下跌 1.2%,因为市场参与者消化了 7-2 的投票结果,以及植田行长在讨论利率前景时发出的谨慎且模棱两可的信息。"
"行长对连续加息的预期进行了回击,同时在对前景的整体评估中也采取了更为耐心的语气。这次鸽派加息令那些希望在经历动荡的 2026 年后重建对日元信心的市场感到失望。"
"对于美元/日元,我们注意到 50 日和 200 日均线分别位于 159.09 和 158.42,可能具有重要意义,并强调 160 水平在心理上的关键重要性。支撑位现在预计再次位于 155。"
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